United Kingdom
OECD Regional Outlook | |
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The OECD Regional Outlook reviews recent trends, policy developments, and prospects across OECD regions, including the underlying causes driving regional inequalities in performance and well-being. The report offers evidence, guidance and policy recommendations on how to improve competitiveness and productivity, promote inclusive growth, accelerate the net-zero transition and raise well-being standards through effective regional development policy and multi-level governance. |
Overview
Population and territory | UF: 67,026,000 (mid 2021) UK: 248,848 sq km |
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Administrative structure | Unitary |
Regional or state-level governments | Three Devolved Administrations: Wales, Scotland, Northern Ireland |
Intermediate-level governments | 10 Mayoral Combined Authorities (MCAs) including Greater London Council |
Municipal-level governments | 333 local authorities in England; 32 local authorities in Scotland, 22 in Wales and 11 in Northern Ireland. |
Share of subnational government in total expenditure/revenues (2021) | 20.7% of total expenditure 25.2% of total revenues [Source: Subnational governments in OECD countries: key data, 2023 edition] |
Key regional development challenges |
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Objectives of regional policy | Main objectives of UK Government’s Levelling Up policy (see Levelling Up White Paper 2022) are:
The UK Government, under its Levelling Up policy, has also set 12 clear and ambitious medium-term missions that are spatially targeted, measurable and time-bound objectives to improve the situation in the places that need support the most. |
Legal/institutional framework for regional policy |
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Budget allocated to regional development (i.e., amount) and fiscal equalisation mechanisms between jurisdictions (if any) |
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National regional development policy framework |
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Urban policy framework |
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Rural policy framework |
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Major regional policy tools (e.g., funds, plans, policy initiatives, institutional agreements, etc.) |
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Policy co-ordination tools at national level |
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Multi-level governance mechanisms between national and subnational levels (e.g., institutional agreements, Committees, etc.) |
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Policy co-ordination tools at regional level |
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Evaluation and monitoring tools |
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Future orientations of regional policy |
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Regional inequality trends
The United Kingdom experienced an increase in the Theil index of GDP per capita over 2000-2020. Inequality reached its maximum in 2015. The figures are normalized, with values in the year 2000 set to 1.
The Top 20%/Mean ratio was 0.061 higher in 2020 compared to 2000, indicating increased polarisation. The Bottom 20%/Mean ratio did not change in the same period.
Note: Top/bottom calculated as population equivalent (top/bottom regions with at least 20% of the population). The interpretation of top/bottom 20% GDP per capita is that 20% of the population in the country holds 20% of the value. Top 20%/Mean calculated as mean GDP per capita in top 20% regions over mean TL3 GDP per capita in a given year. Bottom 20%/Mean calculated as mean TL3 GDP per capita in bottom 20% regions over mean TL3 GDP per capita in a given year. To improve data consistency, input series are aggregated when TL3 regions are part of the same FUA. To improve time series, TL3 missing values have been estimated based on the evolution at higher geographic level.
Source: OECD Regional Database (2022).
In 2020, the gap in GDP per capita between large metropolitan and non-large metropolitan regions was 1.078. For reference, the same value for OECD was 1.475. This gap increased by 0.035 percentage points between 2000 and 2020.
Meanwhile, in 2020, the gap in GDP per capita between metropolitan and non-metropolitan regions was 1.111. For reference, the same value for OECD was 1.325. This gap increased by 0.069 percentage points since 2000.
In turn, the gap in GDP per capita between regions near and far a Functional Urban Area (FUA) of more than 250 thousand inhabitants was 1.16 in 2020 and decreased by 0.031 percentage points since 2000.
Note: Far from a FUA>250K includes regions near/with a small FUA and remote regions. OECD mean gap based on 1 586 TL3 regions in 27 countries with available data (no TL3 data for Australia, Canada, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Iceland, Ireland, Israel, Mexico, Luxembourg and Switzerland).
Source: OECD Regional Database (2022).
In the United Kingdom, the gap between the upper and the lower half of regions in terms of labour productivity increased between 2004 and 2019. Over this period labour productivity in the upper half of regions grew roughly by 10%, 3 percentage points more than in the lower half of regions. During 2020, the gap narrowed down. Nevertheless, more years of data are necessary to determine the long-term impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on labour productivity gaps in regions.
Note: A region is in the “upper half” if labour productivity was above the country median in the first year with available data and “lower half” if productivity was below the country median. Labour productivity in each group is equal to the sum of Gross Value Added, expressed in USD at constant prices and PPP (base year 2015) within the group, divided by the sum of total employment in regions within the group. Regions are small (TL3) regions, except for Australia, Canada, Chile, Colombia, Ireland, Mexico, Norway, Switzerland, Türkiye and the United States where they are large (TL2) regions due to data availability.
Source: OECD Regional Database (2022).
Regions where the economic activity shifts towards tradable activities, such as industry and tradable services, tend to grow faster in terms of labour productivity. In the United Kingdom, between 2004 and 2020, the share of workers in the industrial sector went down in all regions, approximately by the same amount. At the same time, the share of workers in the tradable services sector went up in all regions but more so in regions that used to be in the lower half of the labour productivity distribution. Hence, the evolution of employment shares in the tradable services sector reduced the labour productivity gap between regions.
Note: A region is in the “upper half” if labour productivity was above the country median in the first year with available data and “lower half” if productivity was below the country median. The share of workers in a given sector for a group of regions is defined as the sum of employment in that sector within the group divided by the sum of total employment within the group. Regions are small (TL3) regions, except for Australia, Canada, Chile, Ireland, Mexico, Norway, Switzerland, Türkiye and the United States where they are large (TL2) regions due to data availability. Industry includes the following tradable goods sectors: Mining and quarrying (B), Manufacturing (C), Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply (D) and Water supply; sewerage; waste management and remediation activities (E) NACE macro sectors. Tradable services include Information and communication (J), Financial and insurance activities (K), Real estate activities (L), Professional, scientific and technical activities (M), Administrative and support service activities (N).
Source: OECD Regional Database (2022).
Recent policy developments
There is no explicit regional development policy framework since the Regional Development Agencies in England were closed in 2010. However, since 2011 the UK Government has shifted its focus in England to functional economic areas by launching Local Enterprise Partnerships, of which there are currently 38, to bring together businesses and local leaders to drive economic growth across England and deliver some government programmes including the Local Growth Fund, Getting Building Fund and programmes linked to skills development. The three Devolved Administrations in Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland have responsibility for urban, regional and spatial planning policies in their areas, but the UK Government has established offices in all three territories to help deliver UK wide levelling-up programmes such as the Levelling Up Fund, UK Shared Prosperity Fund and Communities Opportunities Fund, among other initiatives.
With the launch of the Levelling Up White Paper in 2022, there has been an enhanced programme of spreading opportunity to all parts of the country and the three Devolved Administrations in Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland. Since 2011, in England the government has shifted focus in England to functional economic areas by launching Local Enterprise Partnerships and has pursued a policy of devolving more power and resources to local and combined authorities such as Mayoral Combined Authorities and Combined County Authorities.
Devolution is at the heart of the UK Government’s plans to increase economic growth and level up the whole country. The Government announced the biggest ever transfer of powers away from Westminster in the Levelling Up White Paper. It is committed to further extending devolution across England and seeing more empowered and accountable local leaders who can drive growth, innovate, and respond to the specific challenges and needs of their areas. Six new devolution deals were announced in 2022 to drive forward improved outcomes for over 7.2million people that live in those areas by directly electing a mayor/leader to represent them in the future. The six deals agreed in 2022 will bring devolution to over 52% of the English population, up from 41% in 2021. The new deals agreed in 2022 will see over £4bn invested in local areas over a period of 30 years. Once mayors are elected, these deals will give their mayors and leaders greater local control over things like transport, infrastructure and skills. Discussions with places to identify potential candidates for the next set of new devolution deals is well underway in 2023.
For over 11 years 38 Local Enterprise Partnerships (LEPs) have brought together businesses and local leaders to drive economic growth across England. They have also been responsible for the delivery of a number of funding streams that have provided support to businesses and invested in local infrastructure. Since publication of the Levelling Up White Paper, strong progress has been made on extending devolution across England. To this end, the UK Government intends for the functions of LEPs to be delivered by democratically elected local leaders where appropriate in the future, and where they are not already delivered by Combined Authorities. It is minded to withdraw core funding for LEPs from April 2024. To minimise any disruption for LEPs, the areas they support, and delivery of Government programmes the Department for Levelling Up, Housing and Communities, and the Department for Business and Trade are consulting LEPs and other key stakeholders on this proposal. An eight-week information gathering exercise was launched on 17 March, before confirming a decision (consultation closes on 19 May). The Government will publish an updated policy position to confirm next steps by summer 2023.
The Devolved Administrations in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland are largely responsible for regional economic development and spatial planning in their territories. The Welsh Government published “Future Wales - the National Plan 2040” in February 2021. This sets out the national development plan and spatial strategy for Wales. Scotland published a 4th update to its National Planning Framework in February 2023. This provides a national spatial strategy for Scotland setting out its spatial principles, regional priorities and national planning policy. Northern Ireland has a Regional Development Strategy 2035. This puts in place spatial planning, transport and housing priorities to support economic growth and regional prosperity.
Territorial definitions |
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The data in this note reflect different sub-national geographic levels in OECD countries. In particular, regions are classified on two territorial levels reflecting the administrative organisation of countries: large regions (TL2) and small regions (TL3). Small regions are classified according to their access to metropolitan areas (Fadic et al. 2019). The typology classifies small (TL3) regions into metropolitan and non-metropolitan regions according to the following criteria:
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